Raboresearch Agri Commodities

Arabica coffee prices are at 13-year lows. At only USc 90/lb, arabica prices are now below cost of production in virtually all arabica-producing countries aside from Brazil – and over 10m coffee farmers will be working themselves into poverty. Senior Commodity Analyst Carlos Mera talks about his supply/demand expectations, the fundamental risks surrounding the coffee market, and what can be done to alleviate the situation.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

In the latest episode of the ACMR podcast, China G&O expert Lief Chiang joins ACMR Analyst Michael Magdovitz to discuss China’s potential F&A shopping list under a trade deal. Amid reports that China has offered to more than double its pre-trade-war purchases to 55bn USD, Lief runs through the products besides soybeans that would strategically benefit China, including corn ethanol to achieve the E10 mandate, pork, beef, seafood, and spring wheat. He also discusses the time span for reaching those purchase levels. The podcast concludes with Michael's view on whether the US could supply an additional 30bn USD in F&A goods and the potential impact of such an increase for US farmers.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Join Stefan Vogel (ACMR Head and G&O Global Strategist) and Michael Magdovitz (ACMR Analyst) as they discuss the latest WASDE, US stocks, and winter plantings reports.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Geopolitics and weather risk upside are driving G&O prices higher, after a relatively steady month in January. Michael Magdovitz and Charlie Clack discuss navigating these markets amid the US government shutdown and unpredictable Brazilian weather. The major question is whether Chinese guarantees can facilitate a deal before March 1st trade tariff deadline—Rabobank sees short-term upside, but for how long?   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

So far, January has reflected the higher risk appetite, with Brent surging and the Brazilian real gaining versus the US dollar. Charlie Clack and Carlos Mera chat about the latest ICE Coffee, Sugar, and Cotton markets, outlining Rabobank’s fundamental and price outlooks for the season ahead. The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

During the G20 meeting in Argentina, US President Donald Trump agreed to freeze tariff increases on China for a period of 90 days to allow trade negotiators to proceed in good faith. During that hiatus, Premier Xi agreed to resume importing substantial quantities of US food & agriculture products into China that were largely frozen by both tariff & non-tariff measures. Rabobank’s F&A China industry analyst Lief Chiang joins ACMR G&O analyst Michael Magdovitz to discuss the potential demand pickup from China, strategic aspects of the deal and the near-to-medium impact on soybean prices.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Carlos Mera and Charles Clack discuss what’s in store for soft commodity markets—including sugar, coffee and cotton—in the year ahead, as highlighted in their latest report, Outlook 2019: Trade War Turbulence, With Softs Landing. Global production prospects, along with currency and geopolitical shifts provide the backdrop to Rabobank’s 2019 price outlook.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Michael Magdovitz and Charles Clack talk over the big price drivers for major grain & oilseed markets in 2019, as highlighted in their latest report, Outlook 2019: Trade War Turbulence, With Softs Landing. Trade wars, acreage shifts and major weather risks and just a few of the topics which come into the spotlight.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Weakened emerging market currencies and strong US summer crop yields held agri commodity prices in check, despite declining balance sheets and ongoing trade discussions. Michael Magdovitz and Charles Clack talk the latest price & fundamental outlooks for wheat, corn, soybeans, sugar and coffee.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

The Rabobank European Grains Tour recently returned from the Netherlands, Germany and Ukraine. On this podcast, Senior Grains and Oilseeds Analyst Vito Martielli is joined by Moora & Dalwallinu Branch Manager Michael Monaghan to discuss the Ukraine and what makes it a big competitor to Australian wheat in global markets.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Charlie Clack and Michael Magdovitz highlight the crucial figures outlined in the latest August WASDE report, what this means for global G&O markets and what is in store for the future.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

In a recent visit to Argentina, Stefan Vogel, Adolfo Fontes and Victor Ikeda had an unique opportunity to discuss the G&O and Animal Protein sectors with local players. In this podcast, our analysts present expected trends for the Argentine agribusiness in the coming years.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Weather risks, USD strength, and geopolitical instability are driving volatility in grains and oilseeds with cumulative open interest in agriculture at record levels. Charlie Clack and Carlos Mera review Rabobank's latest price outlooks on the major agri futures markets, including wheat, soybeans, coffee and cotton.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Senior analyst Oscar Tjakra discusses the palm oil price outlook for 2018 and the latest developments in the South-East Asian palm oil industry. Palm oil production is set to decrease in South-East Asia post-2021, due to land moratorium and slow replanting.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Sterling Liddell and Bill Nickrent discuss the risks for the corn market related to declining stocks and remarkably low planted acres planned for 2018. This podcast episode was originally released on our North American podcast channel RaboResearch Food & Agribusiness North America. Rabo Agrifinance is Rabobank Group's agricultural finance department in North America.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Heightened weather risks, US dollar weakness, and global growth optimism drive new-found interest in agri commodity markets. Charlie Clack and Carlos Mera discuss Rabobank's latest price outlooks on the major global agri commodity markets for sugar, wheat and soybeans. View the full report here   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Graydon Chong and Charles Clack talk over the big price drivers for major grain & oilseed markets in 2018, as highlighted in their latest report, Outlook 2018—Good Buy, Low Prices. Tightening balance sheets, major weather risks, and shifting trade flows come into the spotlight. The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

Carlos Mera and Charles Clack discuss what’s in store for soft commodity markets in the year ahead, as highlighted in their latest report, Outlook 2018—Good Buy, Low Prices. Global consumption trends, production prospects, and currency shifts provide the backdrop to an optimistic price outlook.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

As of 1 October, the new EU sugar regime is in place, creating opportunities and challenges for various stakeholders in Europe and beyond. RaboResearch analyst Ruud Schers discusses the key rules of the new regime, along with its main implications for farmers and sugar producers. Plus we look at the impact this will have on the market, including Rabobank's outlook for 2017/18.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.

The S&P Agri Index has remained virtually unchanged so far in September, despite an increase of 10% in Brent crude prices. Softs saw some volatility, with cotton down 8% and coffee arabica up 4%. Going forward, the market will look at the US harvest for confirmation on the high expected yields, while South American plantings will shed light on the extent of the switch from corn to soybeans.   The content of this podcast is for information purposes only. Review our disclaimer here.