Wall Street Breakfast

Rob Isbitts and Matthew Tuttle return to discuss monitoring yields and why Fitch downgrading U.S. debt from AAA to AA+ is not that big of a deal (1:00). AI rally, rate hikes and what other shoes might drop (3:00). Extending bond duration, taking on more credit risk at this point in the cycle (5:30). This is an abridged conversation from Seeking Alpha's recent Investing Experts podcast.Transcripts on Seeking Alpha

Catalyst watch for the week of August 13. Seeking Alpha Managing News Editor Kim Khan on what investors can expect when retail sales and housing starts and permits numbers are released. (00:26) Julie gives a brief earnings preview of Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), and Applied Materials (AMAT). (01:43) Kim shares insight on what investors may not have expected from Disney, the rationale behind the Disney+ price increases and the rumor that is not going away? (02:24)Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Catalyst Watch: Eyes On Walmart, Cisco, FOMC minutes and 13F filingsFood prices outpace overall inflation again - will these stocks benefit?Target is downgraded at Raymond James ahead of earningsApplied Materials: Still Firing On All CylindersWalmart: The Bottom Could Fall Out If Inflation Levels Continue To FallThe Walt Disney Company (DIS) Q3 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptWalt Disney rises as Wall Street sees Q3 results, guidance as 'turning pointDisney's quarterly revenues, streaming subscribers fall

Producer prices rose more than expected in July and the decline looks stalled. (0:15) President Biden calls China a ‘ticking time bomb.’ (2:43) Treasury bonds are on pace for record inflows of cash. (4:29)Seeking Alpha transcripts.Show NotesDividend Roundup: Microsoft, Exxon Mobil, Kohl’s, FOX, and moreJPMorgan flags 4300 and 4200 as key technical levels for the S&P 500Treasuries on pace or record year of demand, cash already thereBiden calls China a 'ticking time bomb' amid deflationary spiral, economic woesProducer prices rise slightly more than expected in JulyTech can still outperform the S&P; BMO screens for good betsMicrosoft's role in data breach to be part of US cyber probe - reportMedical Properties Trust slashed to Underperform at Raymond JamesArcher Aviation soars after landing new investment, working out collaboration deal with BoeingTaiwan Semiconductor's July net revenue jumps ~13% over June but falls short Y/Y

GM, Ford (F), Stellantis (STLA) slide as union president tosses proposals in the dustbin. (00:26) Supreme Court to hear arguments on Purdue Pharma $6B bankruptcy settlement. (2:04) Hawaiian Electric (HE) falls 12% in two days after deadliest U.S. wildfire in five years. (03:19)Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Biggest stock movers today: Archer Aviation, Maxeon Solar Technologies and moreMeta said to build only roughly 1,000 units of new AR glassesDOJ requests more info on Amedisys, UnitedHealth mergerAluminum prices seen rebounding with low global inventories, Century CEO saysCatalyst Watch: Wayfair and Kellogg events, Alibaba earnings and AI hacking test at Def Con

Victor Dergunov runs The Financial Prophet and joins Kim Khan to discuss their first reactions to today's CPI numbers - we hit the 'goldilocks' zone (1:00). Will the Fed be encouraged, are they done hiking rates? (3:15) Inflation and labor market, 2 crucial things to watch for a soft landing (5:00) looking for a better market into year end (7:00) and Disney's 'pretty good' earnings (11:20).Transcripts on Seeking AlphaShow NotesInflation rises slightly less than expected Y/Y in July, but shelter prices stay strongFinally, Disney Is Dirt CheapWhy The Correction Could Get Worse

July's CPI expected to highlight the challenge in lowering inflation to 2%. (00:26) Disney's (DIS) quarterly revenues, streaming subscribers fall short of forecasts. (01:45) Alibaba (BABA) revenue expected to grow nearly 2% in Q1. (03:13)Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Biggest stock movers today: Plug Power, AppLovin and moreKenvue set to join S&P 500Coach owner Tapestry in talks to buy Capri Holdings - WSJAmyris files for Chapter 11 bankruptcyDisney earnings call: More streaming price hikes amid pivot toward profitsCatalyst Watch: Wayfair and Kellogg events, Alibaba earnings and AI hacking test at Def Con

Universal Music and Google in talks for artists to get paid for AI deepfakes. (0:15) WeWork could run out of cash by early 2024. (3:16) Is the stock market just delaying a recession? (4:21)Read a transcript of this episode on Seeking Alpha.Show NotesGoogle, Universal Music working on licensing deal for AI deepfake songsA 'Going Concern' Filing For WeWorkRoblox dives 19% as engagement, user growth disappointsWhite House plans to restrict some U.S. investments in ChinaWendy's slips after U.S. comparable sales in Q2 trail estimatesCanaccord Genuity says a recession is inevitable, it just may be further out'Pure defensive' may be the stock trade of the rest of '23 - J.P. Morgan's KolanovicWall Street Breakfast on Twitter

Sports betting shakeup: ESPN (DIS) bets big with PENN in deal aimed at clipping DraftKings' and FanDuel's dominance. (00:28) Amazon (AMZN) is latest heavyweight in talks to anchor Arm IPO - report. (01:49) China's CPI falls for first time in over two years; PPI drops more than expected. (02:40) Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Biggest stock movers today: PENN Entertainment, WeWork and moreRivian Automotive boosts full-year deliveries guidanceHoliday sales grab: Amazon plans to hold a major shopping event in OctoberPlug Power Q2 earnings on deck, what to expectESPN moves into sports betting, teaming with PENN on ESPN BetCatalyst Watch: Wayfair and Kellogg events, Alibaba earnings and AI hacking test at Def Con

Moody’s cuts ratings on small- and midsize banks and puts six big lenders on watch. (0:15) Weight loss pill cuts heart disease risk by 20%. (3:28) Which stocks are loved by hedge funds and which are shunned? (4:14) Read a transcript of this episode at Seeking Alpha.Show NotesStocks most loved and shunned by hedge fundsThree stocks make the cut for Credit Suisse's 'Top of the Crop' listMoody's downgrades U.S. banks on funding risk, office exposure; 6 big lenders on watchNovo Nordisk weight loss drug cuts heart disease risk by 20%UPS in charts: Revenue slips in all three segmentsUPS tumbles after guidance is cut with a new Teamsters contract in the mixBeyond Meat disappoints saying it will miss cash flow targets; shares fallAMC Entertainment rallies after Q2 earnings shine, guiding for record revenue tally in JulyDatadog tumbles ~20% after slashing FY23 revenue outlookWall Street Breakfast on Twitter

U.S. shelter inflation, the biggest component of CPI, may turn negative in 2024 - SF Fed. (00:27) Dish Network (DISH), EchoStar (SATS) nearing deal to merge - report. (01:25) Tilray (TLRY) to buy eight beer brands from Anheuser-Busch (BUD) in bid to boost beverage portfolio. (02:04)Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Three stocks make the cut for Credit Suisse's 'Top of the Crop' listPalantir rises as Q2 results meet estimates, raises full-year sales forecastLucid Group rises; on track to produce more than 10,000 vehicles this yearElectric bus maker Proterra tanks on bankruptcy filing, cancels earnings callAmazon said poised to meet with FTC next weekBeyond Meat beyond disappoints saying it will miss cash flow targets; shares fallBiggest stock movers today: Tilray Brands, Beyond Meat and moreCatalyst Watch: Wayfair and Kellogg events, Alibaba earnings and AI hacking test at Def Con

HSBC plans to move its global HQ to a smaller space as office real estate continues to struggle. (0:15) Nearly half of Americans would try weight loss pills. (2:52) Morgan Stanley shakes up its dividend stock poftfolio. (4:20)Read a transcript of this episode at Seeking Alpha.Show NotesSee the full Morgan Stanley Dividend Equity PortfolioJefferies: ‘We think that a recession is almost inevitable’Tyson Foods misses estimates, forecasts weak margins for beef, chickenSage plummets 46% after FDA declines zuranolone in major depressionCampbell Soup to buy Sovos Brands in $2.7B all-cash dealPratt & Whitney engine recall said to affect airline schedules: WSJWall Street Breakfast on Twitter

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) Q2 operating earnings drive up on strong insurance results. (00:27) Debt-laden Yellow Corp (YELL) files for bankruptcy after prolonged labor row. (01:41) Pollo Tropical (FRGI) restaurant chain to be sold in $225M deal - WSJ. (02:58)Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Pfizer alerts hospitals to drug shortages caused by damage to NC plantIcahn Enterprises drops in after hours amid disclosure of SEC inquiryEarnings week ahead: Disney, Palantir, Plug Power, Roblox, Rivian and moreStocks most loved and shunned by hedge fundsBiggest stock movers today: Nikola and Yellow CorporationBerkshire Hathaway Stock: Q2 Earnings Results Blew Away The BearsCatalyst Watch: Wayfair and Kellogg events, Alibaba earnings and AI hacking test at Def Con

Michael Gayed sees a melt-up and potentially a crash, all in the same year (0:20). Credit event coming (2:10) long duration treasuries as a hedge (4:20) classifying a bull and bear market (6:30) why he likes utilities sector (11:50) developed and emerging markets; value vs. growth (13:20). This is an abridged conversation from Seeking Alpha's recent Investing Experts podcast.Subscribe to Michael Gayed's The Lead-Lag ReportTranscripts on Seeking AlphaShow Notes:QQQX: Time To Rotate If Bullish TechGHY: Global, But Wait For ItSDIV: Only If International OutperformsQQQ: It's Time For The Nasdaq To Punish Recency BiasUSA: Value Tilt Could Cause OutperformanceUnpopular Opinion: The Bear Market Is Not OverDGRO: A Great Fund, But Won't Be Spared In A Credit Event

Catalyst watch for the week of August 6. Seeking Alpha Managing News Editor Kim Khan on what investors can expect when CPI and PPI are released. (00:25) Julie gives a brief earnings preview of Alibaba (BABA), Disney (DIS), Palantir (PLTR) and UPS. (02:26) What do the experts say about how investors should view the Fitch U.S. ratings downgrade? (03:56)Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Catalyst Watch: Wayfair and Kellogg events, Alibaba earnings and AI hacking test at Def ConPalantir: Time For A Breakout Q2Palantir: Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy (Rating Downgrade)Disney: Arrival Of Mayer And Staggs Shouldn't Be OverplayedWalt Disney: A Little Magic Heading Our WayUPS' labor deal with the Teamsters goes to a vote with rank-and-file employeesUPS: Still Not Appealing EnoughAlibaba: Easier Comps Can Deliver Earnings SurpriseTime To Build A Position In Alibaba (Technical Analysis)JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says Fitch U.S. ratings downgrade is `ridiculous'Investors question timing on Fitch downgrade,

Nonfarm payrolls come in light with down revisions but the jobless rate falls to 3.5%. (0:12) Fortinet (FTNT) stock hammered. (3:03) Why it may be too soon to throw in the recession towel. (4:00)Read a transcxript of this esisode at Seeking Alpha.Show Notes:U.S. jobs growth in July comes in lower than expected, unemployment falls furtherAs we watch payrolls, is the Fed watching hours worked?Dividend Roundup: IBM, Walmart, BP, Kimberly-Clark, and moreRoth MKM still sees recession as likely -- maybe before the end of 2023Fortinet plummets as analysts express concerns after full-year guidance cutTupperware stock surges 51% before the bell on debt restructuring dealWall Street Breakfast on Twitter

Labor market strength seen persisting in July with some signs of weakness (0:20), Apple slips and Amazon jumps after earnings (4:00) utilities tumble while natural gas rises (8:00).Transcripts on Seeking AlphaShow Notes:Labor market strength seen persisting in July with some signs of weaknessApple slips even as Q3 results top estimates, aided by Services strengthApple Inc. (AAPL) Q3 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptAmazon jumps after the close as revenue, operating income beatAmazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Q2 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptApple, Samsung pause laptop imports in India after sudden restrictions - reportUtilities tumble as 10-year yield hits another nine-month highNasdaq, S&P, Dow futures rebound ahead of July jobs reportNatural gas jumps as small storage injection trims inventory surplusWall Street Breakfast on Twitter

Bill Ackman hedges with a 30-year Treasury short as yields could hit 5.5%. Tesla China deliveries drop to 2023 low. New names in the BofA Alpha Surprise Portfolio.Read a transcript of this episode at Seeking Alpha.Show LinksLabor productivity turns in strong gain in Q2, labor costs rise less than expectedDXC Technology slumps 25% after Q1 results bring rating cuts at Wall StreetConocoPhillips slips after Q2 miss, raises full-year production guidanceQualcomm stumbles as analysts question guidance, 'structural uncertainties'Anheuser-Busch InBev rallies after recording 7% revenue growth in Q2

Apple (AAPL) Q3 preview: iPhone, India and AI all in focus. (00:34) Amazon (AMZN) analysts upbeat on upcoming results: Earnings preview. (01:28) JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says Fitch U.S. ratings downgrade is `ridiculous'. (02:25)Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Biggest stock movers today: Upwork, PayPal, Qualcomm and moreAmerican Well down 6% on earnings, 2023 revenue outlook cutPayPal stock slides after in-line Q2 earnings, active accounts number slipsShopify's sales beat; shares fluctuate postmarketAirbnb earnings preview: Reporting amid a busy season, and after a tough warningCostco July net sales jump nearly 5%, comparable sales rise 2.5%Salesforce said to lay off more employees after January's purgeCatalyst Watch: Amazon earnings, jobs report, and will Apple talk AI?

U.S. scraps offer to buy 6 million barrels of crude for the SPR (0:15). ADP jobs report exceeds expectations in July. (1:57) Arm eyes $60 billion IPO next month. (3:52)Read a transcript of this episode at Seeking Alpha.Show LinksMorgan Stanley bear Wilson sees a 2019-like rally this yearU.S. Treasury boosts quarterly refunding sales for first time in over two yearsJPMorgan sees no soft landing as equity multiples are too highBofA revises its U.S. outlook to favor a soft landingYum Brands gains after KFC does the heavy lifting in Q2Pinterest slips even as Rosenblatt upgrades after strong Q2 resultsKraft Heinz sees consumers push back on pricing in Q2CVS Health in restructuring mode amid hit to Q2 bottom-line

United States loses top rating at Fitch; long-term IDR cut to AA+. (00:25) Why did Teladoc (TDOC) stock fall today? Amazon Clinic (AMZN) goes nationwide. (01:21) Manchester United (MANU) falls on report takeover process is paused. (02:06)Transcripts available on Seeking AlphaShow links:Biggest stock movers today: XPeng, Match Group and moreStarbucks talks China upside and customization trends on earnings callPinterest beats expectations for revenues, user growth in Q2Caesars Entertainment slides post-market after reporting Q2 resultsPaycom stock slips after Q2 earnings beat, but Q3 guidance disappointsAMD earnings call: Execution on track, AI engagements surgingPayPal to report Q2 earningsCatalyst Watch: Amazon earnings, jobs report, and will Apple talk AI?