Complexity Premia

Episode 44: The Reacceleration of Inflation; What this Means for Equities & Bonds; Portfolio Outlook; Credit Rating Upgrades for Banks; the Conundrum if we get Immaculate Disinflation and CCI is wrong

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Synopsis

Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast from Coolabah Capital, which is hosted by Christopher Joye, CIO and portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts. In this punchy new episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi, a portfolio management director, discuss a range of important developments, including: The reaccleration in inflation The risk of an unwinding of the coincident bond and equity rally in March Shock credit rating upgrades to major bank bonds and hybrids that Coolabah forecast in November 2023 Portfolio returns and the outlook for 2024 What happens to equities and bonds if the looming US CPI data confirms Coolabah's sticky services inflation thesis The conundrum if we get immaculate disinflation and we are wrong about a rebound in core inflation