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#518 - How Reliable Are Option Probabilities When Markets Are Volatile?
- Author: Vários
- Narrator: Vários
- Publisher: Podcast
- Duration: 0:05:04
- More information
Informações:
Synopsis
Hey everyone. This is Kirk here again from Option Alpha and welcome back to the daily call. Today, we’re going to answer the question – “How reliable are option probabilities when markets are volatile?” I want to tackle this question by using an analogy and just kind of telling a quick story here with my son. My son who's our third child is about nine months old now. He started to crawl just recently. Now, he’s starting to kind of lift himself up on things. He thinks he’s really cool and he can lift himself up on chairs and desks and walls and so, now, he's starting to progress into this different stage of going from crawling to eventually walking. But just the other day, he was lifting himself up and then tripped himself basically because he was trying to figure out how his feet works and he tripped and fell and kind of hit his head pretty hard on the floor as he was trying to lift himself up. And so, in this moment now, this has now changed how I view him and how I'm parenting him in the sense that I'm much